August 15, 2019 Ralph Ragette

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing


Buyer confidence and high demand remain strong in Westchester County while our local home inventory remains historically low.  Purchasing a home is one of the largest financial decisions most will make in their lifetime.  This blog’s main purpose is to help educate the consumer on the real estate process and to provide up-to-date information on our local market conditions.

Today I would like to talk to you about Economic Slowdown and Housing


We’ve experienced economic growth for almost a decade, which is the longest recovery in the nation’s history. Experts know a recession can’t be too far off, but when will this economic slowdown actually occur?

Pulsenomics just released a special report revealing that nearly 6 out of 10 of the 90 economists, investment strategists, and market analysts surveyed believe the next recession will occur by the end of next year. Here’s the breakdown:

  • 9% believe a recession will occur this year
  • 50% believe it will occur in 2020
  • 35% believe it will occur in 2021
  • 6% believe it will occur after 2021

When asked what would trigger the next recession, the three most common responses by those surveyed were:

  1. Trade Policy
  2. Stock Market Correction
  3. Geopolitical Crisis

How might the recession impact real estate?

Challenges in the housing and mortgage markets were major triggers of the last recession. However, a housing slowdown ranked #9 on the list of potential triggers for the next recession, behind such possibilities as fiscal policy and political gridlock.

As far as the impact the recession may have on home values, the experts surveyed indicated home prices would continue to appreciate over the next few years. They called for a 4.1% appreciation rate this year, 2.8% in 2020, and 2.5% in 2021.

Bottom Line

On the same day, in the same survey, the same experts who forecasted a recession happening within the next 18 months also claimed housing will not be the trigger, and home values will still continue to appreciate.

 


Source: KCM Ralph Ragette Blog

To assure that you make the best possible decisions, it’s important that you have a knowledgeable agent on your side who is an expert in the local real estate market.  Our goal is to provide you with as much information as needed to make well-informed decisions throughout your home purchase or home sale in Westchester County, New York. 

To Search ALL Westchester County Real Estate Listings, visit www.Ragette.com

To reach Ralph, please call (or text) 914-202-1101 or send an email to Ralph@WestchesterHomeAdvisor.com

Ralph Ragette

Ralph Ragette, Ragette Real Estate. Ralph is a 5th generation Realtor in Westchester County New York. His firm was started by his great-great grandfather in 1885.

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