May 9, 2019 Ralph Ragette

Mainstream Concerns about an Economic Slowdown Revisited


Buyer confidence and high demand remain strong in Westchester County while our local home inventory remains historically low.  Purchasing a home is one of the largest financial decisions most will make in their lifetime.  This blog’s main purpose is to help educate the consumer on the real estate process and to provide up-to-date information on our local market conditions.

Today I would like to talk to you about Mainstream Concerns about an Economic Slowdown Revisited


Recently, we reported that many believe a recession could happen within the next two years. We explained that 70% of economists and market analysts surveyed last year believe that a recession will occur in 2019 or 2020 and that 42% of consumers currently looking to purchase a home also agree that a recession will occur this year or next.

However, the U.S. economy has performed well in the first quarter of 2019 and that has caused some experts to change their thinking on an impending economic slowdown.

Here are a few notable examples:

Anthony Chan, Chief Economist at JPMorgan Chase

“I feel really comfortable that the economy is slowing down this year, but not going into a recession… It doesn’t look, to me, like the odds of a recession in 2020 are there.”

Dean Baker, Senior Economist at the Center for Economic & Policy Research

“To sum up the general picture, the U.S. economy is definitely weakening… However, with wages growing at a respectable pace, and job growth remaining healthy, we should see enough consumption demand to keep the economy moving forward. That means slower growth, but no recession.”

Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer, Wealth Management at Morgan Stanley

“I’m not convinced a recession is coming soon… I see an improving housing market (low rates help), a rebound in bank lending, a tight labor market, higher oil prices and well-behaved credit markets. All these point to a stable U.S. economic outlook.”

Bottom Line

We are seeing a stronger economy than many had predicted. That has caused some experts to push off the possibility of a recession further into the horizon.

 


Source: KCM Ralph Ragette Blog

To assure that you make the best possible decisions, it’s important that you have a knowledgeable agent on your side who is an expert in the local real estate market.  Our goal is to provide you with as much information as needed to make well-informed decisions throughout your home purchase or home sale in Westchester County, New York. 

To Search ALL Westchester County Real Estate Listings, visit www.Ragette.com

To reach Ralph, please call (or text) 914-202-1101 or send an email to Ralph@WestchesterHomeAdvisor.com

Ralph Ragette

Ralph Ragette, Ragette Real Estate. Ralph is a 5th generation Realtor in Westchester County New York. His firm was started by his great-great grandfather in 1885.